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Mode analysis

Storyboard

The correlation only determines similarity of the shape of the segment data without considering the absolute values.

It can be assumed that due to climate change and other mechanisms there is a possibility that the magnitudes of the parameters will vary over time.

For this reason, it is advisable to calculate how the magnitudes have varied between the reference segment and the one with the best correlation.

With this information, the historical data of the segment that will be used for the forecast can be scaled.

>Model

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Calculate coefficient X_k

Equation

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To estimate the integral

X_k = \displaystyle\frac{1}{ T } \displaystyle\int_{0}^{ T } x(t) e^{ i 2 \pi \nu_k t } dt



you can discretize the function x(t) and replace the integral with a sum:

X_k = \displaystyle\frac{1}{ T } \displaystyle\sum_{ n =0}^{ N -1} x_n e^{ i 2 \pi \nu_k n \Delta t }

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Coefficient in complex form

Equation

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The coefficients of the Fourier transform

x(t) = \displaystyle\sum_{k=-\infty}^{\infty}( a_k \cos 2 \pi \nu_k t + b_k \sin 2 \pi \nu_k t )



can be regrouped as a complex number by defining

X_k = a_k - i b_k

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Magnitudes of the modes

Equation

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If the complex coefficient is

X_k = a_k - i b_k



Its magnitude is defined as

r_k = \sqrt{ a_k ^2 + b_k ^2}

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Modes phase

Equation

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If the complex coefficient is

X_k = a_k - i b_k



the phase can be calculated from

\phi_k = \arctan\displaystyle\frac{ b_k }{ a_k }

ID:(14356, 0)